[Kalshi] Will GPT-5 be released by December 31, 2024?
Basic
1
Ṁ497Jan 8
52%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will GPT-5 be released by December 31, 2024?
Resolves the same as the original on Kalshi.
Resolution criteria
If GPT-5 has been created before 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolution sources
Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
[Kalshi] Will the CDC identify a new variant of concern by December 31, 2024?
50% chance
[Kalshi] Will a new Supreme Court justice be confirmed by December 31, 2024?
50% chance
[Kalshi] Will TikTok be banned by December 31, 2024?
50% chance
[Metaculus] Will a large language model (LLM) that is at least on the scale of GPT-4 be wide...before January 1st, 2025?
50% chance
[Kalshi] Will the U.S. credit rating be downgraded by December 31, 2024?
50% chance
[Metaculus] Will a large language model (LLM) that is at least on the scale of GPT-4 be widely available for download...
50% chance
Will I finish the task by 2024?
55% chance
Will I finish the task by 2024?
50% chance
Will I finish the task by 2024?
50% chance
Will I finish the task by 2024?
50% chance